Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.518004 0.600014 0.690037 0.796086 0.917494 1.052042 1.212357
2025-05-25 0.373012 0.481784 0.613754 0.785170 1.001432 1.264674 1.608852
2025-06-01 0.294886 0.412312 0.565489 0.778912 1.067441 1.442670 1.966217
2025-06-08 0.236396 0.353118 0.514809 0.753514 1.095013 1.563684 2.252901
2025-06-15 0.214258 0.338456 0.519449 0.799930 1.220585 1.824222 2.751277
2025-06-22 0.179109 0.298206 0.480200 0.775289 1.237655 1.929049 3.034097
2025-06-29 0.151537 0.264896 0.445889 0.751822 1.250783 2.025440 3.309241
2025-07-06 0.130178 0.238175 0.417802 0.733397 1.267558 2.126049 3.596907
2025-07-13 0.118435 0.225895 0.411408 0.748973 1.339777 2.319316 4.048404
2025-07-20 0.111940 0.221859 0.418226 0.787213 1.453070 2.588773 4.648581
2025-07-27 0.104162 0.214262 0.417570 0.811617 1.543894 2.827222 5.215767
2025-08-03 0.095203 0.203093 0.408862 0.819886 1.605799 3.019742 5.717916
2025-08-10 0.085480 0.189321 0.394052 0.815836 1.646147 3.180412 6.183387
2025-08-17 0.076123 0.175022 0.376555 0.804666 1.672030 3.317515 6.619461
2025-08-24 0.068452 0.163166 0.362402 0.798260 1.705957 3.471734 7.100094
2025-08-31 0.059997 0.148310 0.340114 0.772263 1.697338 3.542519 7.424522
2025-09-07 0.058608 0.149396 0.351953 0.819774 1.844552 3.931788 8.410235
2025-09-14 0.051737 0.136527 0.331519 0.794552 1.835333 4.005202 8.764028
2025-09-21 0.045788 0.125006 0.312663 0.770531 1.825860 4.076470 9.118223
2025-09-28 0.040873 0.115342 0.296898 0.751671 1.825586 4.166365 9.518180
2025-10-05 0.038544 0.112056 0.295969 0.767615 1.905751 4.435228 10.324360
2025-10-12 0.037661 0.112520 0.304287 0.806756 2.043437 4.840968 11.462366
2025-10-19 0.036052 0.110755 0.306781 0.831736 2.149836 5.185323 12.490345